EL NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION – ENSO
October 24th 2023 Current State: EL NIÑO CONDITIONS
During the last 30 days, sea surface temperatures at equatorial Pacific Ocean were above normal from 170°E to the South American coast.
During the last 30 days, trade winds at equatorial Pacific Ocean region were weaker than normal between 100°W and 120°E.
Sub-surface ocean water temperatures at equatorial Pacific Ocean were warmer than normal between 160°E and the South American coast, from surface to 150 m depth, approximately.
30-day moving SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) maintains negative values. Its latest value is -8.3 (ending on October 22).
During the last 30 days, convection at equatorial Pacific Ocean was above normal between 150°W and 150°E and at east of the dateline.
Dynamical and statistical models predict for Niño 3.4 region, 100 % chances of keeping El Niño conditions during the season Oct-Nov-Dec 2023.