EL NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION – ENSO
February 21st 2024 Current State: EL NIÑO CONDITIONS
During the last 30 days, sea surface temperatures at equatorial Pacific Ocean were above normal from 160°E to the South American coast. These anomalies are weakening.
During the last 30 days, trade winds at equatorial Pacific Ocean region were weaker than normal between 120°E and the South American coast.
Sub-surface ocean water temperatures at equatorial Pacific Ocean were warmer than normal between the dateline and the South American coast, from surface to 100 m depth. Cold anomalies were present at west of 140°W, from 100 to 250 m depth.
30-day moving SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) had weakened in January, but intensified again in February. Its latest value is -17.1 (ending on February 18).
During the last 30 days, convection at equatorial Pacific Ocean was above normal between 150°W and 150°E.
Dynamical and statistical models predict for El Niño region, 100 % chances of keeping El Niño conditions during the season Feb-March-Apr 2024.
